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Thomas M. Nichols

Tom Nichols is a professor of national security affairs at the U.S. Naval War College. He previously taught international relations and Soviet/Russian affairs at Dartmouth College and Georgetown University. Dr. Nichols served as personal staff for defense and security affairs in the United States Senate to the late Sen. John Heinz of Pennsylvania, and was a Fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, DC. He is currently a Fellow in the International Security Program and the Project on Managing the Atom at the John F. Kennedy School at Harvard University, where he is working on a book on the reform of nuclear strategy.

Eve of Destruction - A close-up

In chapter 4 I show how the move toward preventive military action is really an international phenomenon. Perhaps the most frustrating thing I found in writing the book is that a lot of people could not get past their emotional reactions to think about this in a larger context.The Iraq war looms large in the book. A lot of people simply cannot think rationally when they think of George W. Bush; in some quarters Bush engenders a kind of visceral hatred more intensely than Richard Nixon or Bill Clinton ever did. On the other hand, my solution to this problem centers on the United Nations. And a lot of people simply shut their eyes and clench their fists with rage when they even hear the words “Security Council,” thinking the UN is some sort of Socialist plot to undermine American independence. I got a lot of bricks thrown at me from both the right and the left while writing. So I would hope reading chapter 4 will help people come to the realization that preventive military action is a lot bigger than George Bush, 9/11, the UN, or anything else. The problem is not as new as you might think; the erosion of national sovereignty and the growing temptations of preventive war have been in the works since at least the late 1980s, and in countries all around the world.My hope is that the significance of the book will rest with a new debate, both among policymakers and citizens, about the use of force. While I very much fear a new age of preventive war, what I really fear is a new age of unregulated preventive war. It may well be that we have to throw out some of the old law books and traditions, and do things we find distasteful. But that’s the hand we’ve been dealt in the twenty-first century. We have never in history had a situation where small groups, unaffiliated with any state, and embracing radical, death-loving ideologies, could do vast-scale damage to us all. But I think before we trash some of the principles that have served us well for four centuries, we need to think about alternatives. I especially hope that this leads to more debate about the United Nations. The United Nations may well be the most dysfunctional bureaucracy in the history of mankind. But it is still our best hope for keeping the peace before we utterly lose control of the situation within the next two or three decades.In the end, we have to get past the partisan arguments of the past several years, and accept two important realities. First, the current system of international security, including the UN Security Council, has become “broken”—not least because it was never designed to handle the threats of this century. Second, traditional rules of warfare are not going to protect us against the kinds of rogues and terrorists who have been set loose by the end of the Cold War and advances in technology. How we solve those two problems is up to us. But we’d better start thinking about it sooner rather than later.

Editor: Erind Pajo
February 24, 2009

Thomas M. Nichols Eve of Destruction: The Coming Age of Preventive War University of Pennsylvania Press216 pages, 9 x 6 inches ISBN 978 0812240665

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